I wrote this already in the @stellarlumens telegram group, but I will copy and paste it here:
Keep in mind that the price dropped when they gave away the 3 bln stellar:
Before the giveaway:
Price even dropped more, the price before the first giveaway was $0.002828 on october 2nd
And the claimed XLM/STR was ONLY about 900,000,000
On October 6th there were 6,092,409,114 STR/XLM
On October 9th there were 6,590,353,992 STR/XLM
On October 16th there were 6,851,353,993 STR/XLM
End of the year, december 25th: 6,921,534,188 STR/XLM
In januari the price was back to the same as before the giveaway.
There are now ONLY 9 BLN stellar and they will giveaway 16 BLN!!!
So if only 2 BLN will be clamed, I will foresee a price drop of more than 50%